Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 4.5
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 44h.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $4.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 44h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 44 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 43.9h
- 18:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 44h.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.
Biggest hourly move: +29.0pp at 2d ago (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 33 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +29.0pp → 50¢
- 3d ago · -12.5pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -12.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -12.0pp → 21¢
- 4d ago · -12.0pp → 21¢
- 4d ago · -12.0pp → 21¢
- 4d ago · -12.5pp → 21¢
- 4d ago · -12.5pp → 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming League One game between Bolton Wanderers FC and Luton Town FC, scheduled for May 2 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bolton Wanderers FC and Luton Town FC combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.