Ethereum ETF Flows on April 29?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$6.00
Liquidity
$2.44
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 95.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 10.7h
- 11:20SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 11h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 21¢+5.0pp
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $899.1K
- 1¢-0.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $511.3K
- 97¢+6.0pp
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $374.7K
- 17¢-34.0pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $271.4K
- 0¢-1.0pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $265.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Wednesday, April 29, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (95.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.