Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Probability
59¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1591.8h
- 09:42SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1592h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 60¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 59¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 59¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 59¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 61¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 57¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 56¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 58¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 57¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Long-Term-Sphere1.0K
- 0xdb3c…833e366
- Puny-Harm168
- Straight-Wrinkle143
- 0x8f04…d82e106