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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Probability

59¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1591.8h

    LOW
  • 09:42Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1592h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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