Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)
Probability
13¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-20.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$231.77
Probability (last 7 days)
-21.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 20pp over 24h
Now 13¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 82h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 81.5h
- 20:27SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 82h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-29.5pp over the last 24h, now 13¢.
Biggest hourly move: -20.5pp at 17:00 (to 14¢).
Show all 15 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -20.0pp → 14¢
- 19:00 · -20.5pp → 14¢
- 17:00 · -20.5pp → 14¢
- 15:00 · -19.5pp → 14¢
- 14:00 · -19.5pp → 14¢
- 12:00 · -19.5pp → 14¢
- 11:00 · -19.5pp → 14¢
- 09:00 · -18.0pp → 14¢
- 08:00 · -17.0pp → 16¢
- 05:00 · -4.0pp → 29¢
- 03:00 · -4.0pp → 29¢
- 02:00 · -4.5pp → 28¢
- 00:00 · -4.0pp → 29¢
- 21:00 · +9.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for April 29 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawasaki Frontale" if Kawasaki Frontale win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Urawa Red Diamonds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.