Parallel-Steamroller
0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$180.1K
Total PnL
$-213.4K
Realised
$51.6K
Win rate
68%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
110000 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$109.7K
$325.05
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
49332 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.7K
$-10.36
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
22257 shares @ 77.2¢·now 77.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$17.2K
$27.06
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5281 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.5K
$132.02
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
1784 shares @ 80.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$606.56
$-829.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
5636 shares @ 9.1¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$603.04
$91.45
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
693 shares @ 54.9¢·now 82.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$574.00
$193.62
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
1358 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.51
$-149.36
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
637213 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
296607 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.66Jul 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.1KJul 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.0KJul 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.6KJul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.1KJul 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$16.00Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$71.11Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.78Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.33Jul 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.78Jul 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$17.58Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$14.85Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.03Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.74Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.74Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.61Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.61Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$17.78Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.04Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$19.56Jul 28, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$176.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
88%
Window
May 18, 19:10 UTC → Jun 2, 11:24 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$79.0K@99¢Jun 2, 11:24 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
68/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 6 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
69 closed markets, 68% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
88%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$130.9K · 74% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $546.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.