Parallel-Steamroller
0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$117.5K
Total PnL
$-196.1K
Realised
$59.2K
Win rate
70%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
76192 shares @ 89.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$70.5K
$2.2K
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
17162 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.0K
$196.76
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
13886 shares @ 88.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.2K
$-109.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
9444 shares @ 87.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.1K
$-153.53
- NO
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
2726 shares @ 90.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$211.82
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
2634 shares @ 40.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$808.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1870 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$8.98
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
15670 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.0K
$-342.55
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
851 shares @ 54.9¢·now 82.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$705.14
$238.14
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
932 shares @ 14.9¢·now 37.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$352.92
$214.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$64.36Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$168.30Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.0KJun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$249.99Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$339.68Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7KJun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.3KJun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$2.2KJun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.3KJun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.3KJun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.6KJun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$657.25Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.35Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$44.45Jun 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.04Jun 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.48Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.20Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$40.00Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.11Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$176.2K
Trades
6
Buy share
88%
Window
May 18, 19:10 UTC → Jun 2, 11:24 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$79.0K@99¢Jun 2, 11:24 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$51.8K@99¢Jun 2, 11:19 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$7.8K@100¢May 28, 18:18 UTC
- SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$14.5K@90¢May 26, 10:52 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.9K@81¢May 24, 14:00 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$16.1K@65¢May 18, 19:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$176.2K
6 trades
Buy share
88%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$130.9K · 74% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $331.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.