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OtherExpires Dec 18, 2026

Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?

Probability

96¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$5.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+7.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5672h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5671.8h

    LOW
  • 16:14Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5672h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 18, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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