Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
Probability
78¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$80.00
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+32.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 78¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5673h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5672.6h
- 15:25SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5673h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 77¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 76¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 75¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 75¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 59¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 18, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).