Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
55¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$5.30
Liquidity
$0.97
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 90.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-79.5pp
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Geopolitics · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+32.5pp
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-69.5pp
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+63.9pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-50.4pp
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-12.4pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-75.4pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-11.9pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $11.4M
- 3¢-7.1pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.9M
- 1¢-1.9pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.4M
- 20¢-51.5pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.0M
- 4¢-57.6pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $795.7K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Geopolitics · Vol $742.2K
Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusgol.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.