MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Probability
61¢
1h
+6.5pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$13.80
Liquidity
$538.16
Probability (last 7 days)
-17.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6024.5h
- 04:29SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6025h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 04:29PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 61¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 57¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 62¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 62¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 59¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 55¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 62¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 53¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 61¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 56¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 69¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 62¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 62¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 66¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 59¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 67¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 71¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).