Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?
Probability
98¢
1h
+19.0pp
24h
+18.5pp
24h Vol
$4.8K
Liquidity
$3.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+65.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 19pp over 24h
Now 98¢; +19.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5979h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5979.1h
- 20:52SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5979h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+19.0pp over the last 24h, now 98¢.
Biggest hourly move: +33.5pp at 2d ago (to 80¢).
Show all 35 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +11.5pp → 79¢
- 19:00 · +11.5pp → 79¢
- 17:00 · +11.5pp → 79¢
- 15:00 · +15.5pp → 80¢
- 14:00 · +12.0pp → 79¢
- 12:00 · +12.0pp → 79¢
- 11:00 · +12.0pp → 79¢
- 09:00 · +12.0pp → 79¢
- 08:00 · +12.0pp → 79¢
- 06:00 · +15.0pp → 79¢
- 05:00 · +15.5pp → 79¢
- 03:00 · +15.5pp → 79¢
- 02:00 · +16.0pp → 79¢
- 00:00 · +16.0pp → 79¢
- 23:00 · +16.0pp → 79¢
- 21:00 · +14.5pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +14.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +17.5pp → 81¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 81¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 80¢
- 1d ago · +25.0pp → 80¢
- 1d ago · +21.5pp → 80¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +30.0pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +33.0pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +33.5pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 57¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +25.5pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +26.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · +26.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +26.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +26.5pp → 59¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson announce their intention to legally separate or break up between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or otherwise break up will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or breakup later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or breakup occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Megan Thee Stallion, Klay Thompson, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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