Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Probability
100¢
1h
+3.5pp
24h
+61.5pp
24h Vol
$8.5K
Liquidity
$314.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 61pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $8.5k traded against $314.1k of visible liquidity (0.03× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 61.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 4
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 5
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:31SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 61.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 23:31SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 20:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
+61.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for April 26 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.