Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds
Probability
100¢
1h
+49.5pp
24h
+46.0pp
24h Vol
$1.4K
Liquidity
$23.6K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 46pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +49.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $23.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 04UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 167.5h
- 17:10SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+46.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +48.0pp at 17:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 29 hourly moves
- 17:00 · +48.0pp → 100¢
- 13:00 · -6.0pp → 50¢
- 11:00 · -6.0pp → 50¢
- 23:00 · +6.0pp → 54¢
- 2d ago · -14.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -14.0pp → 34¢
- 3d ago · +8.0pp → 56¢
- 3d ago · +8.0pp → 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for April 30 at 12:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Colorado Rockies or Cincinnati Reds. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
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