OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$3.92

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:31
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 170.6h

    LOW

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

Biggest hourly move: +9.5pp at 2d ago (to 56¢).

Show all 19 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:00 · -4.5pp → 49¢
  • 23:00 · +3.0pp → 50¢
  • 21:00 · +3.5pp → 51¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 53¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 51¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
  • 1d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +9.5pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +9.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 53¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for April 25 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Los Angeles Angels or Kansas City Royals. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
MLB.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

2 wallets