UnclassifiedExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Game Handicap: ONIC (-1.5) vs RRQ Hoshi (+1.5)

Probability

41¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-18.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$221.10

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 14:00Apr 30, 2026, 20:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 19pp over 24h

    Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 68h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 39.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 68h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 68 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 67.9h

    HIGH
  • 20:21Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 68h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-18.5pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.

Biggest hourly move: -11.5pp at 06:00 (to 41¢).

Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
  • 19:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
  • 17:00 · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 15:00 · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 07:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
  • 06:00 · -11.5pp → 41¢
  • 05:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
  • 03:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between ONIC and RRQ Hoshi in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 6:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "ONIC" if ONIC wins 2 or more games than RRQ Hoshi in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "RRQ Hoshi". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets