SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5

Probability

1h

-23.9pp

24h

-50.4pp

24h Vol

$17.6K

Liquidity

$333.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 07:00Apr 26, 2026, 02:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -23.9pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $17.6k traded against $333.3k of visible liquidity (0.05× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 50.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 5

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:35Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 50.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 02:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 00:30Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-50.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the first half of the NBA game between Nuggets and Timberwolves, scheduled for April 25 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Nuggets and Timberwolves combine to score 112 or more points in the first half. If the combined first half total is less than 112, this market will resolve to "Under". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
based on the score at halftime only
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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