SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026
Creator

Will Alexander Nikishin win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$5.1K

Liquidity

$289.25

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official NHL data
Link
nhl.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 23:00May 5, 2026, 22:31
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-05T22-31Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 17.6× turnover

    $5.1k traded against $289 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $289 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1321.5h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

12 wallets
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