SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Probability

38¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.4pp

24h Vol

$129.77

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.8pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1563.4h

    LOW

Price movement

-0.4pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.

Biggest hourly move: -11.5pp at 2d ago (to 39¢).

Show all 30 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:00 · -4.1pp → 38¢
  • 11:00 · -5.2pp → 37¢
  • 09:00 · -5.4pp → 37¢
  • 08:00 · -5.2pp → 37¢
  • 06:00 · -6.3pp → 37¢
  • 05:00 · -7.3pp → 37¢
  • 03:00 · -8.0pp → 37¢
  • 02:00 · -7.7pp → 37¢
  • 00:00 · -6.5pp → 37¢
  • 23:00 · -6.3pp → 37¢
  • 21:00 · -4.7pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -4.8pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -5.1pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -5.2pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -5.2pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · -3.6pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · -3.8pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · -5.1pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -5.6pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -7.1pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -4.8pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -5.7pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · -10.7pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -10.1pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -11.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · -10.0pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · -11.4pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · -8.6pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
nhl.com
Type
News consensus
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket