Considerate-Warmth
0x48f51cb737a471f576896ca4e4b9c4d2083f9dd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$335.72
Total PnL
$-658.05
Realised
$-41.26
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
499 shares @ 81.8¢·now 40.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$200.35
$-207.83
- NO
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
77 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$77.00
$15.40
- NO
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
64 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.20
$0.00
- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.57
$1.12
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
2 shares @ 32.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.81
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.31
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.20
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
288 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.72
- YES
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
203 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-67.15
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
134 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-116.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.00May 22, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$3.00May 22, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$72.00May 22, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$80.00May 22, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$261.00May 22, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Calgary Flames win the Pacific Division?$1.68Feb 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Calgary Flames win the Pacific Division?$1.39Feb 8, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$0.76Feb 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$0.38Feb 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMistral AI IPO before 2027?$22.00Feb 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?$26.10Feb 8, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$368.14Feb 8, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Syria next?$40.00Jan 11, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Super Bowl?$51.49Jan 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?$10.80Jan 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Super Bowl?$40.65Jan 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?$9.00Jan 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.82Jan 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$101.79Jan 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Obamacare" during the next White House press briefing?$30.96Jan 11, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $99.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.