Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 27 above $146?
Probability
20¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+8.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$808.91
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarysplit-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (35.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 20¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 35.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarysplit-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (35.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 19.9h
- 00:08SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 20h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+8.5pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.
Biggest hourly move: -35.1pp at 17:00 (to 4¢).
Show top 8 of 52 hourly moves
- 20:00 · -33.1pp → 5¢
- 18:00 · -33.6pp → 5¢
- 17:00 · -35.1pp → 4¢
- 14:00 · -30.0pp → 7¢
- 03:00 · -30.0pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -29.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -30.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -30.0pp → 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.