Spread: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara (-2.5)
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-7.1pp
24h Vol
$704.81
Liquidity
$676.42
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
-29.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 15h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $676 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 15 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 14:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 15.4h
- 22:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 15h.
Price movement
-7.1pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: +40.5pp at 2d ago (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +40.5pp → 50¢
- 4d ago · -19.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -19.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -20.0pp → 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Russian Premier League game, scheduled for May 1 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara" if PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Spartak Moskva". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierliga.ru. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.