Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Pontus Almqvist: Anytime Goalscorer

Probability

1h

-9.0pp

24h

-14.5pp

24h Vol

$5.58

Liquidity

$655.88

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; -9.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $656 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:04Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:03Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Serie A game between Parma Calcio 1913 and Pisa SC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pontus Almqvist is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.legaseriea.it/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

2 wallets