Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-37.5pp
24h Vol
$1.4K
Liquidity
$16.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-37.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 37pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $16.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 04Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 05UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:46SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:45ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 6h ago
Price movement
-37.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -33.5pp at 19:00 (to 0¢).
Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
- 21:45 · -33.5pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · -33.5pp → 0¢
- 19:00 · -33.5pp → 0¢
- 18:00 · +11.5pp → 45¢
- 17:00 · +30.5pp → 64¢
- 12:00 · +16.5pp → 50¢
- 07:00 · +6.5pp → 40¢
- 4d ago · -13.0pp → 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 28 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "NEOM SC" if NEOM SC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Hazem SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.