0xc43931b67e876448df773b2f0fe5f3adc10640cd
0xc43931b67e876448df773b2f0fe5f3adc10640cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$33.81
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
238 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$237.90
$1.19
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
198 shares @ 83.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$196.39
$31.05
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
141 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$140.87
$19.72
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
109 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$109.19
$1.97
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
80 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$80.31
$1.54
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
57 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$57.22
$2.12
- NO
Netanyahu out by March 31?
55 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$55.11
$1.62
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
51 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.56
$2.62
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
49 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.48
$2.54
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
47 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$46.72
$7.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$14.08Apr 18, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$6.62Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$6.67Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$6.62Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$6.67Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$9.75Apr 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$2.91Apr 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$9.88Apr 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$5.60Apr 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$13.87Apr 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$8.43Apr 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$14.39Apr 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$22.42Apr 17, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$7.57Apr 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$7.57Apr 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$15.32Apr 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$15.32Apr 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$19.69Apr 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$4.26Apr 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$4.76Apr 12, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.