O/U 4.5 Rounds
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$74.83
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 89.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 173.9h
- 22:06SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.0pp at 2d ago (to 51¢).
Show 4 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. “Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (89.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.