Fight to Go the Distance?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$70.88
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 90.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 173.9h
- 22:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: +9.0pp at 3d ago (to 52¢).
Show top 8 of 45 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 51¢
- 3d ago · +9.0pp → 52¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Shamil Gaziev and Brando Pericic at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.