OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

Probability

23¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$39.75

Liquidity

$27.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 05:16

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1578.7h
LOW
05:16Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1579h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
05:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -7.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket