SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-56.5pp

24h Vol

$621.86

Liquidity

$3.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-33.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 26, 2026, 00:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 56pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:40Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 16:15Resolve

    Market resolved 8h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-56.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -57.0pp at 19:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 34 hourly moves
  • 00:00 · -57.0pp → 0¢
  • 22:00 · -57.0pp → 0¢
  • 21:00 · -57.0pp → 0¢
  • 20:00 · -57.0pp → 0¢
  • 19:00 · -57.0pp → 0¢
  • 2d ago · +30.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +28.5pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · +29.0pp → 56¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for April 25 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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