Map Handicap: FQ (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Black (+1.5)
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+14.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$190.04
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 14pp over 24h
Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 65h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 60.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 65h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 65 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 64.8h
- 12:13SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 65h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+14.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion Black in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest wins 2 or more maps than Shopify Rebellion Black in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Black". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (60.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.