Broken-Dogwood
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$775.0K
Total PnL
$56.3K
Realised
$200.5K
Win rate
54%
110 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
450000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$300.4K
$75.4K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
450000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$149.6K
$-75.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
57434 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.0K
$490.95
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
28427 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$28.4K
$42.64
- NO
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23826 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.8K
$-11.91
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
23746 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$23.5K
$-63.97
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22222 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.9K
$33.33
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17775 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.9K
$8.89
- NO
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
13820 shares @ 78.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.4K
$607.90
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
104613 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.1K
$8.4K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.60Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55.54Jun 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.13Jun 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59.50Jun 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.99Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.2KJun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.75Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$166.65Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.8KJun 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.04Jun 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$701.52Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$663.60Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$43.1K
Trades
4
Buy share
23%
Window
May 18, 00:10 UTC → Jun 10, 11:06 UTC
- SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.4K@99¢Jun 10, 11:06 UTC
- SELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$5.6K@94¢May 23, 22:11 UTC
- SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.3K@95¢May 22, 23:32 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.8K@98¢May 18, 00:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$20.4K
1 trades
30d volume
$43.1K
4 trades
Buy share
23%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$27.7K · 64% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $866.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 110 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.