SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will Atlanta Falcons draft Garrett Nussmeier in the 2026 pro football draft?

Probability

0¢

1h

-10.0pp

24h

-49.5pp

24h Vol

$39.00

Liquidity

$267.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-48.4pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 02:00Apr 26, 2026, 01:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Down 49pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -10.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 49.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 01:13Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 49.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 01:13Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-49.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -48.4pp at 01:13 (to 0¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 01:13 · -48.4pp → 0¢
  • 00:00 · -38.5pp → 10¢
  • 23:00 · -36.5pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same event2026 Pro Football Draft: Team to draft Garrett Nussmeier
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the team that selects Garrett Nussmeier in the 2026 NFL draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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