Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$127.71
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $2.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1029.4h
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -11.9pp at 3d ago (to 1¢).
Show 6 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -9.4pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -9.4pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -9.4pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -11.9pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -11.9pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -11.9pp → 1¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.