Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$8.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14772h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 13.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14771.8h
- 17:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14772h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Betmoar officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumx.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (13.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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