Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Probability
54¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$100.00
Liquidity
$384.46
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 54¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6006h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6005.6h
- 23:23SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6006h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.0pp at 3d ago (to 56¢).
Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
- 19:00 · -5.0pp → 51¢
- 04:00 · -5.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +4.5pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 51¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bitcoin Korea Premium Index reaches 8 or higher at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CryptoQuant, specifically the Korea Premium Index chart available at: https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index Daily values shown on the chart will be used. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on a consensus of other credible crypto data sources tracking the Korea (Kimchi) premium.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarya consensus of other credible crypto data sources tracking the Korea (Kimchi) premiumLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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