EntertainmentExpires Jun 30, 2027

Will Blake Lively be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-7.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$249.85

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 10326h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 60.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 10326.2h

    LOW
  • 17:50Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 10326h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-7.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.

Biggest hourly move: +16.5pp at 2d ago (to 44¢).

Show all 25 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -8.5pp → 36¢
  • 16:00 · -8.0pp → 36¢
  • 15:00 · -8.0pp → 36¢
  • 14:00 · +3.0pp → 46¢
  • 00:00 · -6.0pp → 44¢
  • 22:00 · -6.0pp → 44¢
  • 20:00 · -6.0pp → 44¢
  • 18:00 · -7.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · -7.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +15.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +15.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +15.5pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +15.5pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +15.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · +15.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · +15.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (60.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.