Will Cara Delevingne be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Probability
34¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$255.71
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 10329h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 58.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 10328.8h
- 15:14SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 10329h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:14PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 34¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 34¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 30¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 28¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 32¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 36¢-7.0pp
Will Blake Lively be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 65¢0.0pp
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 56¢+6.5pp
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 33¢-1.0pp
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 39¢-3.0pp
Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 22¢-2.5pp
Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (58.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).