Will Brice Turang lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?
Probability
48¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$12.14
Liquidity
$3.10
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryOfficial MLB dataTypeOfficial sports resultConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (93.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 48¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 93.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3624.5h
- 23:27SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.5pp at 1d ago (to 42¢).
Show 4 hourly moves
- 09:00 · -3.5pp → 45¢
- 07:00 · -3.5pp → 45¢
- 03:00 · -4.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryOfficial MLB dataTypeOfficial sports resultConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (93.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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