Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?
Probability
16¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 16¢; -4.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 370h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 369.7h
- 14:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 370h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 18¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 18¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 16¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 18¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 21¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Kyndal Inskeep win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Daniel Stallworth win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.4pp
Will Bella Emry win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Brianna Yancey win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Chloe Lauren win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Genevieve Heyward win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Jake Thistle win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 7¢0.0pp
Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 62¢+2.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.2M
- 1¢-1.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢+1.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $863.4K
Market Description
The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the individual who wins Season 24 of American IdolAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).