Colorless-Payment
0x83e8723ff456f79445192be823761a4d67517b89
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$4.6K
Win rate
49%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1874 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.94
$-243.77
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
12764 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-626.29
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
8919 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-992.79
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
7244 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
7199 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
5809 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-771.98
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
5691 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-265.07
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?
4487 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-124.58
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
4473 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-269.69
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
4288 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$370.02Jun 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.1KJun 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.03Jun 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$0.32Jun 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$13.00Jun 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$640.82Jun 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$664.25Jun 11, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$150.00Jun 11, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$2.9KJun 11, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$5.4KJun 11, 16:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.75Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.4KJun 3, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$497.11Jun 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$26.10Jun 3, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.7KJun 3, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.8KJun 3, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$37.08Jun 3, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$66.00Jun 3, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$76.00Jun 3, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$94.31Jun 3, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.