Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Probability
36¢
1h
+15.3pp
24h
+23.6pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+24.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 24pp over 24h
Now 36¢; +15.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4807h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 71.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4806.8h
- 17:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4807h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 38¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 23¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 16¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.3pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.3pp
to 11¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 11¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 11¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 13¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 13¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.8pp
to 21¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.9pp
to 42¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.1pp
to 34¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 13¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.7pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 33¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.4pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.6pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.1pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (71.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.