Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4810h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4810.4h
- 13:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4810h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.1pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).