0x4158c6dd1a572079a9a0a77b9854519967254961
0x4158c6dd1a572079a9a0a77b9854519967254961
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$438.84
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-54.03
Win rate
32%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
176 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$175.80
$1.86
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
73 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$72.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
36 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$36.30
$7.62
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.14
$0.14
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.17
$6.17
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 65.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.80
$5.47
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 85.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.11
$1.59
- NO
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-07?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$9.93
$2.48
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
18 shares @ 82.8¢·now 53.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.66
$-5.34
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$1.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Untold: The life & Life of Lamar Odom" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$19.83Apr 22, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner$4.86Apr 20, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$9.13Apr 20, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$9.30Apr 20, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$16.98Apr 20, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$17.89Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$24.30Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$28.37Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$33.52Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)$40.87Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$65.41Apr 20, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$10.19Apr 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.00Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".