Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?
Probability
19¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$238.93
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 19¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6079.8h
- 16:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 15¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 21¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 4, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).