Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?
Probability
31¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6076h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6076.0h
- 20:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6076h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 31¢.
Biggest hourly move: -12.5pp at 3d ago (to 19¢).
Show all 35 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +3.5pp → 31¢
- 12:00 · +4.0pp → 30¢
- 10:00 · -6.0pp → 26¢
- 06:00 · +4.0pp → 32¢
- 01:00 · +3.5pp → 32¢
- 22:00 · -11.0pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 27¢
- 3d ago · -12.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +7.0pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · +7.5pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +10.5pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +7.5pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +9.0pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 27¢
- 3d ago · +7.0pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · +7.0pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +7.5pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · +7.0pp → 31¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 31¢
- 4d ago · +9.5pp → 32¢
- 4d ago · +9.5pp → 32¢
- 4d ago · +7.0pp → 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 4, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.