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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Claudia López place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Probability

1h

+0.3pp

24h

-2.6pp

24h Vol

$17.49

Liquidity

$3.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:10
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 862.8h

    LOW
  • 01:10Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 863h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 01:10Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -10.3pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -10.3pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -10.6pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -11.8pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -12.3pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -14.2pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -21.2pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -30.9pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -39.6pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Category · Politics

Market Description

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (12.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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