Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$3.95
Liquidity
$502.76
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 15.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6008.0h
- 21:02SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.
Biggest hourly move: +4.0pp at 01:00 (to 41¢).
Show all 2 hour-by-hour ticks
- 13:00 · +4.0pp → 41¢
- 01:00 · +4.0pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarycredible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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