Poised-Bet
0x698aa64f0392f63c3d5aeae03bb2309b2c0afe0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$729.52
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 45.2¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$500.24
$-178.24
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$94.04
$-0.45
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$63.00
$16.00
- META
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$46.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
40 shares @ 34.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.00
$2.40
- YES
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.50
$4.50
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
2000 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
60 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$34.00May 23, 20:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coingecko be acquired in 2026?$4.20May 21, 10:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 21, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$5.95May 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?$43.00May 20, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.02May 20, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$150.00May 20, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$22.00May 17, 04:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$19.00May 16, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $22.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".