Carefree-Defense
0xe7beab5d87ea5352da9b9d6b01171e468236a856
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$18.21
Total PnL
$-1.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.51
$1.51
- YES
Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggies
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- ST. THOMAS (MN) TOMMIES
North Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- UTAH TECH TRAILBLAZERS
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.63
$0.64
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggies$1.00Feb 26, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies$1.00Feb 26, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers$1.00Feb 26, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jan 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Jan 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Jan 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.27Jan 5, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$2.50Jan 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 23?$1.00Oct 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$1.00Oct 24, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill a club from Europe win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$1.04Oct 7, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.08Oct 7, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.