Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for LA Galaxy next?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$104.55
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3055h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 52.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3055.0h
- 18:58SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3055h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the next club Cristiano Ronaldo officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. If Cristiano Ronaldo does not officially join a new club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Al Nassr”. If Cristiano Ronaldo signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Al Nassr for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Cristiano Ronaldo joins a club that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Cristiano Ronaldo is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a club’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Al Nassr and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (52.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.