Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$26.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 559h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 558.6h
- 17:24SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 559h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.5pp at 2d ago (to 27¢).
Show all 7 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 29¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.