Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$7.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 999h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 999.0h
- 09:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 999h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.8pp at 3d ago (to 5¢).
Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -4.1pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · -4.1pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -3.9pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -3.9pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -6.8pp → 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (6.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.